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Wednesday, September 29, 2010

A Better Choosing Experience

When consumers are overwhelmed with options, marketers should give them what they really want: ways of shopping that lower the cognitive demands of choosing.

strategy+business magazine










Illustrations by Andreas Samuelsson
Baskin-Robbins' Australia current logoImage via WikipediaWhen Baskin-Robbins, now the largest ice cream chain in the world, opened in 1953, its line of 31 flavors — one for every day of the month — was a novelty. … Cofounder Irvine Robbins said, “We sell fun, not just ice cream,” and part of the fun for customers was the experience of seeing and tasting so many new flavors. The company continues to emphasize variety; …
Today it seems obvious to offer consumers more choice — but the experience is no longer a novelty, or nearly as much fun. Whereas in 1949 the average grocery store stocked 3,700 products, the average supermarket today has 45,000 products, and the typical Walmart has 100,000 products. Online are even more options, … Starbucks, … recently launched the However-You-Want-It Frappuccino, with “thousands of ways to customize your blended beverage.” Cold Stone Creamery claims that its menu of mix-ins provides more than 11.5 million ways to “customize your ice cream treat.” Long gone are the days when an array of 31 flavors knocked our socks off.
Consumers have grown accustomed to having a lot of choice, and many people still express a strong desire for having more options. But that doesn’t make it a good idea. There are neurological limits on humans’ ability to process information, and the task of having to choose is often experienced as suffering, not pleasure.
That is why, rather than helping consumers better satisfy their preferences, the explosion of choice has made it more difficult overall for people to identify what they want and how to get it. … [You] can outthink and outperform your competitors by turning the process of choosing into an experience that is more positive and less mind-numbing for your customers. …
The goal of a new approach to choice should not be to manipulate consumers into making choices that aren’t right for them, but rather to collaborate in a way that benefits both of you. … To accomplish this, here are four actions you can take:
  1. Cut the number of options.
  2. Create confidence with expert or personalized recommendations.
  3. Categorize your offerings so that consumers better understand their options.
  4. Condition consumers by gradually introducing them to more-complex choices.
Offered together, these actions can distinguish your company. … [You’ll] be one of those rare companies whose offerings rise to the top by raising customer spirits.
The Multiple-choice Problem
supermarket 70774Image by s.alt via Flickr…[In] the mid-1990s, … Sheena Iyengar conducted a study of shopper selection at … Draeger’s, a specialty grocery store renowned for its huge selection of produce, packaged foods, and wine. Iyengar realized that although she greatly enjoyed visiting the store, she often walked out empty-handed, unable to settle on just one bottle of mustard or olive oil …
… Iyengar and her collaborator, Mark Lepper, set up a jam-tasting booth near the entrance of the store. Every few hours, the booth switched between offering an assortment of 24 jams and an assortment of six. The researchers wanted to know which assortment would attract more people and which one would lead to higher sales. They observed the shoppers as they moved from the booth to the jam aisle, which boasted 348 varieties.
As might be expected, 60 percent of the incoming shoppers stopped when 24 jams were displayed, but only 40 percent stopped when six jams were displayed. Clearly, people found the larger assortment more attractive. However, when these same shoppers went to the jam aisle to pick up a jar, the shoppers who had seen only six jams had a much easier time deciding what to purchase.

By observing the shoppers and eavesdropping on their conversations, the researchers discovered that the small assortment helped people narrow down their choices, whereas the large assortment left them confused and unsure of their own preferences. Of those who stopped by the large assortment, only 3 percent ended up buying a jar of jam — far fewer than the 30 percent who bought jam after stopping by the small assortment. … Iyengar and Lepper calculated that people were more than six times as likely to buy jam if they saw the small display.
… People like the idea of choice. … In short, they believe that having more choice gives them more power and satisfaction.
But they overestimate their own capacity for managing these choices. Psychological studies have consistently shown that it’s very difficult to compare and contrast the attributes of more than about seven different things. When faced with the cognitive demands of choosing, people often become overwhelmed and frustrated. As a result, they may forgo the choice altogether, reach for the most familiar option, or make a decision that ultimately leaves them far less satisfied than they had expected to be.
We see this frustrated response to “choice overload” even when the decision has serious consequences. …[At] the request of Steve Utkus, the director of the Center for Retirement Research at the Vanguard Group, Iyengar and her collaborators, Wei Jiang and Gur Huberman, tried to determine why so few of the 900,000 employees covered by Vanguard were participating in their … 401(k) plans. Analysis of the data revealed that participation fell significantly as the average number of funds in a plan rose. By controlling for individual-level variables such as age and income, as well as plan-level variables such as the size of the company and the extent of employer matching contributions, Iyengar and her collaborators showed that the decline in average participation rates was due to an increase in choice. When plans offered only two funds, 75 percent of the relevant employees participated; when plans offered 59 funds, the percentage of participants fell to 61 percent. …
Moreover, Iyengar and Emir Kamenica discovered that the employees who participated made worse investment decisions, on average, when they chose from plans with more options. For every 10 additional funds offered in a plan, employees allocated 3.28 percent less of their contributions to equity funds (as opposed to bond or money market funds), and they were also more likely to avoid allocating any of their contributions to equities at all. … Even employees in their 20s, who should have been allocating 80 to 90 percent of their contributions to equities (based on the accepted wisdom of financial advisors), became more likely to entirely avoid equities as the number of options rose, undermining their long-term financial well-being.
The deleterious effects of too much choice have been observed in other situations as varied as buying chocolate, applying for jobs, and making healthcare decisions. … People keep expressing a desire for more choices, and businesses keep expanding product and service options in order to fulfill this desire — but it often does more harm than good.
Don’t marketers have to give consumers what they want? Yes and no. … When consumers say they want more choice, more often than not, they actually want a better choosing experience. They want to feel confident of their preferences and competent during the choosing process; they want to trust and enjoy their choices, not question them. … The following four means will help you meet that challenge.
Head & Shoulders shampooImage via Wikipedia1. Cut their alternatives. … Most companies avoid reducing the number of products they offer because they’re afraid of losing shelf space to their competitors. But careful trimming can lower costs, increase sales, and improve the choosing experience for consumers. In the mid-1990s, when Procter & Gamble Company winnowed its 26 varieties of Head & Shoulders anti-dandruff shampoo down to 15, … sales jumped by 10 percent. In a similar case, the Golden Cat Corporation got rid of its 10 worst-selling offerings in the small-bag cat litter category. This led to a 12 percent increase in sales and slashed distribution costs by half; the end result was an 87 percent profit hike. Another example comes from a 2001 study that tracked an online grocer that had made substantial cuts in the number of products it offered, … Not only did sales rise an average of 11 percent across 42 categories, but 75 percent of its customer households increased their overall expenditures.
… Potential consumers should be able to zero in on a product’s defining characteristics and explain why it is (or is not) appealing to them. If people respond vaguely or inattentively, that’s a signal that the choices you offer are not distinct enough and should be consolidated.
2. Create confidence through recommendations. Reducing options works well when the variations between products are relatively small. But for highly differentiated goods — books, prerecorded music and video, clothes, and many housewares — you can’t get away with offering a small selection. … Instead, you have to offer a wide variety while helping consumers navigate the complexity so they still have a positive choosing experience. …
Through study and practice, experts in any field learn to simplify, categorize, and prioritize information, and to recognize patterns. This allows them to create order out of seeming chaos. …
In high-choice conditions, the ideal consumer is the most expert consumer. That doesn’t mean someone with in-depth expertise in any one type of product. … However, novice consumers can become expert general consumers by learning to rank and structure their choice sets the way that experts do.
Marketers can thus help novices make more-educated guesses and create confidence in their choices by giving them easy access to expert reviews and recommendations. … Even non-expert advice can prove useful when there is consensus among a large number of reviewers or when the consumer trusts the source. This is one reason for the popularity of shopping websites with user reviews …
Another way to give consumers access to recommendations, … is to set up automated systems that generate suggestions based on consumers’ expressed preferences. These systems, …are software programs that guide people by analyzing their prior purchases or their answers to survey questions. If consumers are willing to invest a little time teaching a well-designed system about their preferences, then the system can serve as a personalized expert for them. People don’t usually trust programs as much as they trust other people, but trust in well-performing electronic agents tends to develop over time.
Image representing Pandora Media as depicted i...Image via CrunchBaseFor example, the Internet radio service Pandora has acquired 50 million users who tune in for an average of 12 hours a month, even though (or perhaps because) they cannot directly choose what they’ll hear. Pandora’s “mission” is to “play only music you’ll love,” and it accomplishes this by combining human expertise with an automated system. First, trained analysts determine the musical attributes of every song in the database. …Then, when users tell the system what music they like, it searches for other music with similar attributes. As they listen to their personalized music streams, users can let the system know how well it matched their preferences. Eventually, the system comes to “know” the users well enough that they no longer have to provide feedback. They can just sit back and enjoy.
3. Categorize their options. You can also help novices by teaching them to emulate expert judgment. For an expert, there is no completely unique product or service; rather, each offering is a distinctive combination of attributes that the expert has seen before. Thus, where the novice sees 100 different items, the expert sees maybe seven or eight relevant qualities interacting in novel ways, with one or two important features that immediately stand out. The trick is to get the novice to see things as the expert sees them.
The easiest way to do this is to categorize. For example, Best Cellars, Wine Enthusiast’s Retailer of the Year in 2009, makes the choosing process a breeze for its customers by consulting with oenophiles in advance. It draws on their advice to limit its variety to 100 high-quality, reasonably priced wines. Since 100 wines could still be an overwhelming number for novices, Best Cellars divides the wines into eight simple categories, such as “fizzy,” “juicy,” and “sweet.” The novice has to deal with only eight units of information now, which can be managed fairly easily. Once the novice has chosen a category, he or she can choose a wine within that category by reading the detailed labels that accompany all the bottles.
… By pre-sorting the wines into categories, the retailer helps novices look at the world through expert lenses. Best Cellars cofounder Joshua Wesson says, “We all want simplicity when it comes to these types of decisions…. We try to make wine shopping as much fun as wine drinking.” Note that this is the flip side of what Baskin-Robbins did in its heyday. Both retailers have thrived by creating a better choosing experience. Back then, this meant giving customers more choice; now, it means giving them less.
Des magazines de mode en vente à Copenhague.Image via WikipediaTo simplify the choice process, limit your categories to no more than 20, with 10 or fewer options in each. When you hold to these limits, consumers are likely to feel empowered by the number of choices, and are unlikely to miss any offerings that weren’t included. Iyengar and her collaborators, Cassie Mogilner and Tamar Rudnick, discovered this when studying the magazine aisles in several Wegmans supermarkets. The number of magazines available at various branches ranged from 331 to 664, but this number had no effect on buyer satisfaction. What mattered was the number of categories, … that each display provided. Arranging the magazines under a wider range of subheadings created the perception that the store offered more choice, even when the number of magazine titles was comparatively small. Customers in these stores also reported greater enjoyment of their overall shopping experience.
…[The] categories established by a marketer or retailer provide a framework for making sense of a large assortment, thus keeping consumers from being discouraged by the daunting task of choosing. …[These] categories … also provide a general overview of the field, which catalyzes consumers’ understanding of it and the development of their preferences within it.
4. Condition them for complexity. For certain kinds of decisions, you can set up consumers for success by encouraging them to learn from, and build upon, their own previous choices. This is especially valuable if your product is customizable.
For example, Iyengar and her collaborators, Jonathan Levav, Mark Heitmann, and Andreas Herrmann, conducted a study with a major German car manufacturer that allows customers to design their new cars from a long list of options, choosing everything from the engine to the rearview mirror. They presented the first eight design choices in different sequences to different groups of car buyers. One group had to choose  [design elements from categories that went from high choice to low choice]. A second group of buyers encountered the same choices in reverse order, starting with the design elements that offered the fewest options and ending with the ones that offered the most. Although both groups eventually saw 144 total options across eight categories, the buyers who moved from high choice to low choice had a much harder time. They began by carefully considering every option, but they soon grew tired and settled for the default. In the end, they wound up less satisfied with their cars than the buyers who had progressed from low choice to high choice.
This research shows that people can handle a large number of options, if they start off in the shallows and then slowly move toward the deep, all the while building skill and nerve. Beginning with fewer options not only warms up consumers, it helps them better figure out their own preferences, which in turn enhances their choosing experience. Over time, practicing this choosing technique will condition consumers to cope with increasing complexity.
An Open Invitation
Each of these forms of customer engagement can be technologically enabled, …. But the heart of this method lies in better design of the shopping experience, fueled by better awareness of human capabilities. When you take this approach, … your goal is to invite consumers to enter into a collaborative, mutually beneficial relationship with you.
From the outset, your design shows them that you understand how they think and respect their desire for both control and simplicity. The message is clear: In the short run, you are helping them navigate a bewildering and even debilitating world of options. In the long run, you are inviting them to choose you.

Author ProfileS:

  • Sheena Iyengar is the S.T. Lee Professor of Business at Columbia University and a recipient of the Presidential Early Career Award. She is the author of The Art of Choosing (Twelve, 2010), from which this article is adapted.
  • Kanika Agrawal is a research assistant at the Columbia Business School and a graduate of Columbia’s MFA program in writing.
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Tuesday, September 28, 2010

A Cup of Joe is Good Medicine


A photo of a cup of coffee.Image via Wikipedia

September 27, 2010 (PLANSPONSOR.com) – There’s nothing like a good cup of Joe to get you going – particularly if you are a nurse or a doctor.

Image via CrunchBaseImage representing Careerbuilder as depicted i...
Dunkin Donuts logoImage via Wikipedia



A new survey by retailer Dunkin’ Donuts and CareerBuilder finds nurses and doctors topped the list of professions in which workers said they got the most done after downing a cup of coffee.
A CareerBuilder news release said after nurses and doctors, the biggest coffee-drinkers were found among:
3) Hotel workers,
4) Designers/Architects,
5) Financial/Insurance sales representatives,
6) Food preparers,
7) Engineers,
8) Teachers,
9) Marketing/Public Relations professionals,
10) Scientists,
11) Machine operators, and 
12) Government workers.
In general, 32% of respondents said they need a jolt of caffeine to make it through the day, while 43% said their production lagged when they were coffee free.
Geographically, workers in the Northeast U.S. stated they are the most dependent on coffee, with 48% of people claiming they are less productive without coffee, compared to the South at 45%, West at 44% and Midwest at 34%. Meanwhile, younger workers are more dependent on a coffee fix. Forty percent of respondents ages 18 to 24 admit they can’t concentrate as well without coffee, and 43% of those ages 18 to 34 stated they have lower energy if they don’t drink coffee.
Thirty-seven percent of American workers drink two or more cups of coffee during their workday, and 75% of American workers who buy coffee during the workday only travel a quarter mile or less for their daily brew.
The survey was conducted online within the U.S. by Harris Interactive on behalf of CareerBuilder among 3,661 U.S. workers (employed full-time; not self-employed; both government and non-government) ages 18 and over between August 17 and September 2, 2010.
Fred Schneyer
editors@plansponsor.com

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Brinton Eaton Warns of Big Tax Hikes if Congress Doesn’t Act


Non-spouse beneficiaries could experience rates as high as 55%

Advisor One
September 27, 2010 | By Michael S. Fischer

The Bush income and estate tax cuts of 2001 are set to expire in three months, and Robert DiQuollo, president of the boutique advisory firm Brinton Eaton, is more than a little concerned about congressional inaction in the run-up to November midterm elections.
“If the Bush tax cuts of 2001 are not extended, we will witness one of the largest tax increases in history,” DiQuollo said in a commentary released by Brinton Eaton on Friday.
Nine years ago, Congress passed several income and estate tax reductions through a “reconciliation” process that resulted in their being sunsetted after 2010.The commentary noted that, absent congressional action, marginal income tax rates for the top fifth and top income brackets would increase to 36% and 39.6%, respectively, from the current rates of 33% and 35%. Net capital gains rates for these two brackets would go up to 20% from 15%.
Plot of top bracket from U.S. Federal Marginal...Image via Wikipedia

The biggest change, however, would come in the qualified dividend area, which would increase from 15% to a maximum of 39.6% if Congress did not extend the cuts, according to the commentary. Moreover, tax rates for 2013 when the new health care laws are effective would impose an additional 3.8% tax on individual taxpayers whose modified adjusted gross income exceeds $200,000, or $250,000 for married couples filing joint returns.
The estate tax in 2011, and going forward, would also be significantly more onerous if Congress did not act, the commentary said. In 2009, an individual could leave up to $3.5 million to a non-spouse beneficiary without incurring a federal estate tax.
Logos and uniforms of the New York YankeesImage via Wikipedia“For the current year, 2010, there is no federal estate tax,” DiQuollo said in the commentary. “You may recall hearing that the heirs of George Steinbrenner, the late owner of the New York Yankees who died in July, saved almost $500 million in federal estate taxes, on a $1 billion estate. This pales in comparison to Dan Duncan, owner of a natural gas processing plants in Texas, whose heirs will inherit over $10 billion with no estate tax.”
The commentary concluded that without congressional action, the federal estate tax will be reborn on January 1, 2011, and will tax all inheritances to non-spouse beneficiaries in excess of only $1 million dollars, with progressive rates going as high as 55%. DiQuollo pointed out that if billionaire Dan Duncan had died in 2011 rather than 2010, “his estate would have paid up to $5.5 billion to Uncle Sam (assuming the estate was left to his children) versus the actual amount of ‘zero.’ ”
About the Author
Michael S. Fischer
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Thursday, September 23, 2010

Those Added Pounds can cost Big Bucks

Silhouettes and waist circumferences represent...Image via Wikipedia

September 22, 2010 (PLANSPONSOR 2009 Ultimate Buyer's Guide) – Carrying the extra pounds is not only a major health hazard, but also can represent a big hit in the pocketbook, according to a new study.

A bust of George Washington on the campus of G...Image via WikipediaAn Associated Press news report said George Washington University researchers started with the cost of obesity-related medical care and then tacked on things like employee sick days, lost productivity, even the need for extra gasoline.
The result for the annual cost of being obese: $4,879 for a woman and $2,646 for a man. That's far more than the cost of being merely overweight — $524 for women and $432 for men,
The report also averaged in the economic value of lost life from obesity-related premature deaths, which brought women's annual obesity costs up to $8,365, and men's to $6,518.
Health policy professor and study co-author Christine Ferguson said the difference between the genders is due to the fact that larger women earn less than skinnier women, while wages don't differ when men pack on the pounds.  Researchers had expected everybody's wages to suffer with obesity, but "this indicates you're not that disadvantaged as a guy, from a wage perspective," Ferguson told the Associated Press.
Finally, when it comes to obesity costs, the research found that nearly 1 billion additional gallons of gasoline have been used every year because of increases in car passengers' weight since 1960.
Researchers analyzed previously published studies to come up with a total obesity-related cost total.
The research report is available here.
PLANSPONSOR staff
editors@plansponsor.com
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Wednesday, September 22, 2010

Performance Fees Enrich Managers but Hurt Investors says Coburn Barrett

21 September 2010 (PLANSPONSOREurope.com) Performance fees encourage fund managers to take maximum short-term risk rather than thinking about higher returns in the long run, according to Coburn Barrett.

"Flat fees are the best way to ensure alignment of manager and investor interests. Performance fees do not mean higher returns; instead they encourage fund managers to take maximum short-term risk. When a bet is won, they are very well paid, but when the bet is lost, it is the investor alone who carries the loss. We saw this quite clearly and painfully in 2008", said Thomas Wehlen, Founder and Senior Fund Manager at Coburn Barrett.
"Returns absolutely matter to investors; but they need to be aware, that performance is not always the primary concern of intermediaries", says Wehlen. …
Seriously large returns need two things, maintains Coburn Barrett: they need to happen over a long period of time and the volatility has to be low enough that an investor can allocate a substantial amount to it. The average life span of a hedge fund is roughly three years, and for mutual funds it is not much longer.
Coburn Barrett believes that as important as absolute returns, is the volatility, or risk, taken to get there.
Thomas Wehlen continued: "Many funds change their risk exposure significantly over time. This burdens investors with unwanted exposure, and deprives them of opportunities for return. Over the long-term, being out of the market is very often more expensive than being in, and losing".
Katherine Blackler
editors@plansponsoreurope.com
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